India vs New Zealand 3rd Test: Match Prediction, 01.11.2024

India vs New Zealand 3rd Test: Match Prediction, 01.11.2024

With the final Test of the series between India and New Zealand set to unfold at the Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai, all eyes are on India as they seek to salvage pride after an unprecedented series loss. New Zealand has already sealed the series 2-0. The result marks their first-ever Test series victory in India, which only a few visiting teams have achieved over the decades.

Match Preview

India's form in this series has raised concerns, with back-to-back losses showcasing issues in both batting and bowling departments. The first Test in Bengaluru saw a spirited New Zealand chase, with Rachin Ravindra playing a pivotal role. In contrast, the second Test in Pune was dominated by Mitchell Santner, who took 13 wickets, dismantling India on a pitch that offered assistance to spinners. These two losses have jeopardised India's famed home dominance, with questions emerging around the team's ability to handle pressure in challenging conditions.

The Wankhede pitch traditionally supports spin, but seamers have also had success with bounce and carry. India will look to utilise the conditions to level the series score, relying on their experienced spinners. On the other hand, New Zealand will be confident with a balanced lineup that has managed to exploit Indian weaknesses.

Team News

India

Rohit Sharma's captaincy has been under scrutiny, especially given the team's inability to capitalise on strong starts. Yashasvi Jaiswal and Shubman Gill have shown flashes of brilliance but need to perform consistently. India's spinners, including Ravichandran Ashwin and Ravindra Jadeja, have struggled against New Zealand's patient batting. Washington Sundar's impressive seven-wicket haul in the second Test could keep him in the playing XI. Bumrah and Siraj will lead the pace attack, but they may not have much impact if the pitch turns early.

New Zealand

New Zealand will continue with a balanced squad led by Tom Latham. Kane Williamson will also miss this Test match, and Rachin Ravindra's aggressive approach has helped New Zealand dominate. Mitchell Santner's brilliant 13-wicket haul in the last Test has cemented his place as a primary spinner, with Glenn Phillips providing support. Tim Southee has been steady with his line and length, and Matt Henry's seam bowling has effectively complemented the attack.

Probable Playing XI

India's Probable XI:

  1. Rohit Sharma (C)
  2. Yashasvi Jaiswal
  3. Shubman Gill
  4. Virat Kohli
  5. Sarfaraz Khan
  6. Rishabh Pant (WK)
  7. Ravindra Jadeja
  8. Ravichandran Ashwin
  9. Washington Sundar
  10. Jasprit Bumrah
  11. Mohammed Siraj

New Zealand's Probable XI

  1. Tom Latham (C)
  2. Devon Conway
  3. Will Young
  4. Daryl Mitchell
  5. Rachin Ravindra
  6. Tom Blundell (WK)
  7. Glenn Phillips
  8. Mitchell Santner
  9. Tim Southee
  10. Matt Henry
  11. William O'Rourke

Key Players

India

  1. Virat Kohli: Kohli's batting has been inconsistent, but his experience and ability to play spin effectively will be essential. With the team relying on a solid performance, Kohli's role will be critical.
  2. Washington Sundar: With his seven-wicket performance in Pune, Sundar could be the X-factor on spinning tracks, especially if Ashwin and Jadeja struggle again. His all-round abilities add depth to India's lower order.

New Zealand

  1. Rachin Ravindra: As New Zealand's most reliable batsman, Ravindra's consistency and ability to anchor innings have been vital. His steady hand could frustrate India's spinners once more.
  2. Mitchell Santner: Santner's record-breaking performance in Pune proved his capability to turn the game with his spin. He'll be a key weapon on the Wankhede surface, especially given India's recent struggles against quality spin bowling.

Match Prediction

India is under immense pressure to avoid a whitewash, a rare scenario on home soil. While they remain the favourites due to their strength at home, New Zealand's balanced squad and tactical approach give them a solid chance to make history with a series sweep. Based on current form, New Zealand has a slight edge, but an improved Indian performance, especially from their spinners, could see them clinch a consolation win.